The much-awaited decision on gas prices has finally come. However, production is unlikely to increase in the near term. The decision to raise the price from the current $4.2/mBtu to $5.61/mBtu will impact three of India's upstream companies differently. It is a positive for Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India (OIL). It is sentimentally negative for Reliance Industries (RIL), as the revised pricing formula is not going to apply to the company till arbitration proceedings are on. Till this is resolved, the difference between the revised and earlier price of $4.2/mBtu will be credited to a gas pool account maintained by GAIL.
The market believes ONGC and OIL would be the biggest beneficiaries of diesel price deregulation and the gas price revision. With underrecoveries disappearing in the case of diesel, ONGC is expected to gain the most, believe oil & gas analysts. Diesel accounts for 55 per cent of total underrecoveries and about half of it is borne by public sector oil and gas producers. Within that, most of it is borne by ONGC.