India Ratings and Research has revised its outlook for the telecommunication services sector from stable to stable-to-negative for fiscal year 2017. The agency expects the launch of Reliance Jio Infocomm to intensify competition, which will squeeze the market share, operating margins and credit metrics of incumbents. The agency expects voice revenue to moderate in FY17 on stagnant minutes of usage (MoU) and further competition in call realisations.
Additionally, the agency expects data revenue to remain stagnant on a 30 -40 per cent decline in data realisations/megabyte in FY17 driven by RJio's launch, while support from data consumption growth to data average revenue per user will be gradual. The operators' debt profile will deteriorate in FY17 as the agency expects them to incur high capital expenditure on network expansion and acquisition of additional spectrum through trading, largely to compete with RJio.