We reiterate our ‘buy’ rating on Axis Bank and raise our target price to R2,200 (earlier R2,120) as well as upgrade our earnings by 2%/4% for FY15/16. At our target price, the stock will trade at 2x FY16e P/BV. We expect EPS CAGR of 18% over FY14-17, with RoEs at 18% and RoAs ~1.8%.
At a recent meeting, we find increased confidence in the management on various parameters, even as nothing much has changed on the ground level yet. It remains confident about 3-5% higher-than-industry growth and new stressed assets at R6,500 crore with a positive bias and specific credit costs at 75-80 bps.