With the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) dovish announcements behind us, the markets will now exclusively focus on the developments in the Eurozone with respect to Greece. We are only ten days away from the June 30th deadline by which Greece has to pay back the IMF more than a billion dollars. Without a new bailout package, that would be impossible and the Greeks stand on the verge of a default.
Surprisingly, the market has not priced in the likely hood of a Grexit with the Euro holding up above 1.13 against the US Dollar and European bond yields have not been bid strongly either. Perhaps there is a strong belief among market participants that we may see positive news flow after the talks start with an emergency summit on Monday evening.